Why was modern science invented in Western Europe, and not in India, or China?
Albion's Seedling, the Anglosphere blog, recently
linked
to this
fascinating site,
which presents a theory of scientific progress proposed by David Cosandey. The longer
version of this is only available in French, but the theory can be read in short summary
form
in English,
and very fascinating reading it makes.
To pluck Cosandey's own even shorter summary from his summary:
For science
and technology to advance in a given civilization, two conditions are required: a thriving
economy and a stable political division. That is, a rich and stable states system is
needed.
Note the plural. States with an s at the end. One state doesn't do it.
Not enough competition. No surprise, then, that the European scientific miracle is now
ending.
While it lasted, the European scientific miracle had a lot to do with the shape of its
coast line, as did the ancient Greek miracle before it. Both Greece and Western Europe
are shaped like crinkly pieces of seaweed. And sea, says Cosandey, is good for science.
For the time being, and despite Europe flagging, further scientific progress looks
reasonably certain, but the momentum may eventually slow. For there is a depressing
sting in the tail of Cosandey's theory, in the form of a science-fiction-like speculation:
Planet Earth has become too small to stand large conflicts between great powers,
but wars with missiles and nuclear bombs could still be waged in the interplanetary medium.
What about the quality of our stellar system in that respect? In the same way as not all
coastline profiles allow for long-lasting rich states systems, similarly, not all planet
configurations foster such lush combination at the space age level. Unfortunately, our
neighbouring planetary environment seems hopelessly forbidding. We are not going to experiment
[experience?] in the future another full "miracle", like the Greek and the European ones
in the past.
This conclusion reminds me of the widespread theory that war
drives economic development, which now looks rather unconvincing, what with war having
abated quite a lot recently, but with economic development forging ahead as never before.
It is to be hoped that scientific progress can, despite what Cosandey says, outlast the
conflicts between rich, stable, warlike states that gave birth to it, and find other
motivations to fuel itself.
(Comments from DC!)